Viendo archivo del martes, 29 septiembre 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Sep 29 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 272 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Sep 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1027 (N23W62) indicated a slight decrease in area and spot number and maintains a bipolar magnetic configuration. No significant flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on day one (30 September). Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on days two and three (01-02 October) due to a coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Sep a 02 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 Sep 072
  Previsto   30 Sep-02 Oct  072/072/070
  Media de 90 Días        29 Sep 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Sep  006/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 29 Sep  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 30 Sep-02 Oct  005/005-007/007-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Sep a 02 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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