Viendo archivo del jueves, 1 octubre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Oct 01 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 274 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Oct 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1027 (N24W89)
produced a B7 flare at 01/0255Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. ACE solar wind data indicate a
continued influence from a weak coronal hole high speed stream.
Average solar wind velocities are around 350 km/s, with low density
and Bz fluctuations from +/- 6 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (02-04
October) as the high speed stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Oct a 04 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Oct 072 Previsto 02 Oct-04 Oct 070/070/069 Media de 90 Días 01 Oct 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Sep 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Oct 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Oct-04 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Oct a 04 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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