Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 septiembre 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Sep 30 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 273 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Sep 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1027 (N23W76) has decreased in size and spot number and currently indicates an alpha magnetic configuration as it approaches the west limb. No significant flares occurred during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated unsettled period observed during the period 30/1200Z - 1500Z. Observations from the ACE spacecraft indicated the possible arrival of a weak co-rotating interaction region in advance of a recurrent coronal hole.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for day one (01 October) due to a weak coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet levels are expected for days two and three (02-03 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Oct a 03 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       30 Sep 072
  Previsto   01 Oct-03 Oct  072/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        30 Sep 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 29 Sep  000/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 30 Sep  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Oct-03 Oct  007/007-005/006-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Oct a 03 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%05%05%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%05%
Tormenta Menor05%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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