Viendo archivo del lunes, 12 octubre 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Oct 12 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 285 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Oct 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No significant flare activity occurred. The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream that commenced yesterday began to gradually subside early in the period. Velocities gradually decreased from 435 to 350 km/sec during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (13 - 14 October). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (15 October) as an equatorward extension of the northern crown coronal hole begins to influence the field.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Oct a 15 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       12 Oct 070
  Previsto   13 Oct-15 Oct  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        12 Oct 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 11 Oct  007/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 12 Oct  002/003
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 13 Oct-15 Oct  005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Oct a 15 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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