Viendo archivo del martes, 13 octubre 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Oct 13 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 286 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Oct 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 (14 October). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on days 2 - 3 (15 - 16 October) as an equatorward extension of the northern crown coronal hole begins to influence the field.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Oct a 16 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Oct 070
  Previsto   14 Oct-16 Oct  070/070/072
  Media de 90 Días        13 Oct 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Oct  001/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Oct  001/003
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Oct-16 Oct  005/005-007/007-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Oct a 16 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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