Viendo archivo del miércoles, 18 noviembre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Nov 18 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 322 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Nov 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Two regions were numbered today. Region 1032 (N17E20) and
Region 1033 (N21E47) were both magnetically classified as Beta
groups.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. With the emergence of Regions 1032 and 1033,
there is a slight chance for a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been mostly quiet for the past 24 hours. An
isolated unsettled period at mid-latitudes occurred between
18/0600-0900Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for day one (19 November).
Unsettled, with isolated active conditions, are expected on day two
and three (20-21 November) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Nov a 21 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Nov ??? Previsto 19 Nov-21 Nov 079/080/080 Media de 90 Días 18 Nov 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Nov 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Nov 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Nov-21 Nov 007/007-010/011-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Nov a 21 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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