Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 enero 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jan 09 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 009 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jan 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1040 (N30E35) produced a C1.0 flare at 1503Z. Several B-class flares were observed prior to the C-flare. Region 1040 has grown during the past 24 hours and is a 10-spot Cri-beta group with an area of approximately 70 millionths.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. There is a chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region 1040.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the first two days (10-11 January). Quiet, with isolated unsettled levels, are expected on day three (12 January) as a coronal hole moves into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jan a 12 Jan
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Jan 082
  Previsto   10 Jan-12 Jan  084/086/088
  Media de 90 Días        09 Jan 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jan  000/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Jan  001/002
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Jan-12 Jan  005/005-005/005-006/006
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jan a 12 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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