Viendo archivo del viernes, 5 febrero 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Feb 05 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 036 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Feb 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1043 (N23W46) produced an A8 x-ray event at about 0200Z which was associated with a faint CME. A second B2 flare occurred at 1338Z from a region on the northeast limb. Newly numbered Region 1044 (N18W36) produced a B3 xray event at 1903Z, but is a small, unipolar group so far. The northern hemisphere coronal hole is nearing center disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain very low for the next three days (6-8 February), with only a slight chance for C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain quiet for day 1 (6 February). Unsettled to active conditions with a slight chance for minor storming are expected for days 2 and 3 (7-8 February). The increase in activity is forecast due to possible effects from the CME observed on 03 February, as well as the coronal hole mentioned in part 1A.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Feb a 08 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       05 Feb 078
  Previsto   06 Feb-08 Feb  080/083/085
  Media de 90 Días        05 Feb 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 04 Feb  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 05 Feb  001/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 06 Feb-08 Feb  005/005-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Feb a 08 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%35%35%
Tormenta Menor01%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%40%40%
Tormenta Menor01%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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