Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 enero 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jan 13 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 013 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jan 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1040 (N28W11) has shown growth in areal coverage (370 Millionths) and is now classified as a Eki-beta group with 33 spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected be at very low to low levels for the next three days (14-16 January). There is a chance that Region 1040 will produce an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (14-16 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jan a 16 Jan
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Jan 091
  Previsto   14 Jan-16 Jan  091/090/087
  Media de 90 Días        13 Jan 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jan  002/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Jan  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jan a 16 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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