Viendo archivo del martes, 9 febrero 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Feb 09 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 040 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Feb 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 1045 (N23W26)
produced a M1/Sn event at 08/2123Z. This region has shown a slight
decay today but continues to maintain its magnetic beta-gamma-delta
configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a slight chance for a X-class event from Region
1045.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions for the
next three days (10-12 February). Activity is forecast due to the
recent CME activity from Region 1045. Late on 11 February into 12
February there is a slight chance for isolated periods of minor
levels due to the full halo CME observed on 06 February.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Feb a 12 Feb
| Clase M | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Clase X | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Feb 091 Previsto 10 Feb-12 Feb 090/090/085 Media de 90 Días 09 Feb 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Feb 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Feb 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Feb-12 Feb 008/009-010/011-012/013
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Feb a 12 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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