Viendo archivo del miércoles, 17 febrero 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Feb 17 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 048 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Feb 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Isolated B-class flares
occurred during the period. New Region 1049 (S19E02) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for active
levels during days 1 - 2 (18 - 19 February). Activity is expected to
decrease to quiet levels on day 3 (20 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Feb a 20 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Feb 087 Previsto 18 Feb-20 Feb 088/088/086 Media de 90 Días 17 Feb 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Feb 011/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Feb 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Feb-20 Feb 010/010-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Feb a 20 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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