Viendo archivo del jueves, 18 febrero 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Feb 18 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 049 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Feb 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Isolated B-class flares
occurred during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
predominately very low levels. There is a chance for an isolated
C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for active
levels during day 1 (19 February). Activity is expected to decrease
to mostly quiet levels on days 2 - 3 (20 - 21 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Feb a 21 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Feb 085 Previsto 19 Feb-21 Feb 085/085/084 Media de 90 Días 18 Feb 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Feb 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Feb 007/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Feb-21 Feb 010/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Feb a 21 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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