Viendo archivo del lunes, 1 marzo 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Mar 01 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 060 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Mar 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No significant flares were detected during the forecast period. New Regions 1052 (S16W25) and 1053 (S23W33) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low due to the return of old Region 1045 (N24, L242) and two newly numbered regions 1052 and 1053.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 01-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. An increase to unsettled levels was observed between 1500Z and 1800Z. The increase was in response to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (02 March) due to the coronal hole mentioned above. Activity is expected to be at quiet levels on days two and three (03 - 04 March) as the coronal hole effects subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Mar a 04 Mar
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       01 Mar 078
  Previsto   02 Mar-04 Mar  084/084/084
  Media de 90 Días        01 Mar 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Feb  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 01 Mar  005/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar  007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Mar a 04 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%05%05%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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