Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 mayo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 May 17 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 137 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 May 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. No flares were
observed. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low through the period (18-20 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet during days one and two (18-19 May), and quiet
to unsettled on day three (20 May) of the period. The increase is
forecast due to the possible onset of a recurrent high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 May a 20 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 May 069 Previsto 18 May-20 May 070/072/072 Media de 90 Días 17 May 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 May 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 May 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 May-20 May 005/006-005/006-008/013
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 May a 20 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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