Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 junio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jun 13 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jun 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was moderate during the past 24 hours.
Region 1079 (S23W95) produced an M1.0/SF flare at 0539Z which was
associated with a Type II radio sweep. Regions 1079 and 1080
(S24W77) decayed to plage towards the end of the period. Region
1081 (N24W76) produced several C-class flares during the past 24
hours and maintains a beta magnetic classification.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for days 1 and 2 (14-15 June). Activity is expected to be very low
for day 3 (16 June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet on days 1 and 2 (14-15 June). Conditions
are expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated
active periods on day 3 (16 June) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream moving into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jun 076 Previsto 14 Jun-16 Jun 076/074/072 Media de 90 Días 13 Jun 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jun 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun 005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jun a 16 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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