Viendo archivo del martes, 15 junio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jun 15 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 166 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Jun 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next 3 days (16-18 June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated minor
storm period at high latitudes from 0900-1200Z. An increase in
solar winds speed to 540 km/s was observed at ACE late in the day.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active with a slight chance for
an isolated period of minor storming on day 1 (16 June) due to
coronal hole effects. Conditions are expected to be quiet to
unsettled with a chance for active conditions on day 2 (17 June) and
mostly quiet conditions are expected on day 3 (18 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Jun a 18 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Jun 070 Previsto 16 Jun-18 Jun 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 15 Jun 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Jun 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Jun 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Jun-18 Jun 010/012-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Jun a 18 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 60% | 50% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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