Viendo archivo del miércoles, 16 junio 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jun 16 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 167 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Jun 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next 3 days (17-19 June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active at mid latitudes. Storm conditions occurred at high latitude stations. Elevated solar wind speeds near 550 km/s were observed throughout the day.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly unsettled to active on day 1 (17 June) due to coronal hole effects. Conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled with the chance for an isolated active period on day 2 (18 June). Mostly quiet conditions are expected on day 3 (19 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Jun a 19 Jun
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Jun 072
  Previsto   17 Jun-19 Jun  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        16 Jun 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Jun  009/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Jun  015/016
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun  010/012-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Jun a 19 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo50%30%20%
Tormenta Menor20%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo60%40%30%
Tormenta Menor30%20%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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