Viendo archivo del jueves, 8 julio 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 08 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 189 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jul 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The SOHO/LASCO EIT imagery observed a faint eruption along a filament channel approaching the northwest limb. A CME was observed on the C2 imagery following this event around 08/1630Z. The CME is not expected to be earth directed. Several B-class flares were observed during the last 24 hours which are associated with a loop structured region approaching the northeast limb (old Region 1083 N19, L=331).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet with isolated unsettled levels for day one (09 July) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet conditions are expected for days two and three (10-11 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jul a 11 Jul
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Jul 074
  Previsto   09 Jul-11 Jul  076/078/078
  Media de 90 Días        08 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jul  002/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Jul  002/002
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul  005/006-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jul a 11 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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