Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 julio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 28 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 209 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Jul 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1089 (S24W48) produced a
few B-class x-ray flares as well as a C2 event at 28/2042Z. Newly
numbered Region 1092 (N16E76) remains quiet and stable since
rotating into view.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a chance for a C-class flare as well as a slight chance for
an M-class flare from Region 1089. A slight chance for a C-class
flare also exists from Region 1092.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with the
exception of an isolated period of minor storming between
28/00-28/03Z. The greater than 2MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly quiet to unsettled with a chance for active
conditions on day 1 (29 July). Mostly quiet to unsettled with a
slight chance for active conditions are forecast for days 2 and 3
(30-31 July).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Jul a 31 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Jul 083 Previsto 29 Jul-31 Jul 085/087/087 Media de 90 Días 28 Jul 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Jul 011/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Jul 015/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Jul-31 Jul 010/012-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Jul a 31 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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