Viendo archivo del jueves, 29 julio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 29 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 210 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jul 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1092 (N14E63)
produced a pair of B-class flares, the largest a B7 event at
29/1847Z. Region 1089 (S24W62) has been quiet and stable while
decreasing in area.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is forecast to be very
low, with a slight chance for a C-class flare for the next 3 days
(30 July-1 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly quiet to unsettled with a chance for active
conditions on days 1 and 2 (30-31 July). Conditions are forecast to
return to mostly quiet on day 3 (1 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jul a 01 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jul 085 Previsto 30 Jul-01 Aug 087/087/085 Media de 90 Días 29 Jul 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jul 010/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jul 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jul-01 Aug 008/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jul a 01 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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