Viendo archivo del lunes, 13 septiembre 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 13 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 256 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Sep 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The disk was quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels. A slight chance for C-class activity is possible from Region 1106 (S19E44) for the next three days (14 - 16 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for days one and two (14 - 15 September). Quiet to unsettled conditions, with isolated high latitude active periods, are possible on day three (16 September) due to the combined effects from the 11 September CME and a weak coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Sep a 16 Sep
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Sep 080
  Previsto   14 Sep-16 Sep  080/080/081
  Media de 90 Días        13 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Sep  001/001
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Sep  002/003
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Sep-16 Sep  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Sep a 16 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%10%25%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%30%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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