Viendo archivo del martes, 14 septiembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 14 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 257 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Sep 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. The disk was quiet
and stable. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a chance for an isolated C-class event from Region 1106
(N19E30).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet on day one (15 September). Quiet
to unsettled conditions with isolated active periods are expected on
day two (16 September) due to the arrival of the CME observed on
September 11. Day three is expected to be predominately unsettled
with isolated active periods, as a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Sep a 17 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Sep 081 Previsto 15 Sep-17 Sep 082/083/083 Media de 90 Días 14 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Sep 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Sep 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Sep-17 Sep 005/002-012/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Sep a 17 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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