Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 286 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1112 (S17E14)
remained stable and quiet. New Region 1113 (N17E76) produced several
B-class x-ray events, the largest a B4 event at 13/1627Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next 3 days (14-16 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron Flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for days 1 and 2 (14-15 October) and quiet to
unsettled with a chance for isolated periods of active conditions on
day 3 (16 October). The increased activity is expected due to the
possible arrival of a CME observed on 11 October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Oct a 16 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Oct 078 Previsto 14 Oct-16 Oct 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 13 Oct 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Oct 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Oct 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Oct-16 Oct 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Oct a 16 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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