Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 octubre 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 286 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Oct 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1112 (S17E14) remained stable and quiet. New Region 1113 (N17E76) produced several B-class x-ray events, the largest a B4 event at 13/1627Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next 3 days (14-16 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron Flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for days 1 and 2 (14-15 October) and quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated periods of active conditions on day 3 (16 October). The increased activity is expected due to the possible arrival of a CME observed on 11 October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Oct a 16 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Oct 078
  Previsto   14 Oct-16 Oct  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        13 Oct 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Oct  007/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Oct  005/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Oct-16 Oct  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Oct a 16 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%25%
Tormenta Menor01%01%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%30%
Tormenta Menor01%01%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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