Viendo archivo del jueves, 14 octubre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 287 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Oct 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. Regions
1112 (S18W00) and 1113 (N17E63) each produced isolated low-level
B-class flares. New Region 1114 (S22W41), a single-spot A-type, was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low through the period (15 - 17 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through the period (15 -
17 October) due to weak CME effects from a filament eruption on 11
October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Oct 080 Previsto 15 Oct-17 Oct 080/080/082 Media de 90 Días 14 Oct 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Oct 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Oct 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct 007/007-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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