Viendo archivo del martes, 18 enero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 018 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jan 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. Region 1147
(N26E37) showed a slight increase in area and was classified as a
Cso beta-gamma group. Region 1147 remained the sole source of
todays occasional to isolated B-class flares. Region 1148 (S28W46)
is currently classified as a Cro-beta group with two spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low during the period (19-21 January). There is a chance for
an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (19-21
January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jan a 21 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jan 081 Previsto 19 Jan-21 Jan 082/082/082 Media de 90 Días 18 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jan 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jan 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jan-21 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jan a 21 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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