Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 enero 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 17 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 017 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jan 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity remained at very low levels. Occasional B-class flares were observed during the period. The largest of these was a B4 flare at 17/0634Z from Region 1147 (N25E52). Region 1147 was classified as a Cso-beta group with 12 spots. Region 1148 (S28W32) was numbered today as a Bxo-beta group with 4 spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low, with a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (18-20 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jan a 20 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 Jan 082
  Previsto   18 Jan-20 Jan  082/082/084
  Media de 90 Días        17 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jan  003/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 Jan  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 Jan-20 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jan a 20 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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