Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 enero 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 024 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jan 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1149 (N16W45) produced a C1 flare at 24/0615Z. Region 1149 is currently a Dsi-beta group, with a significant drop in spot count. Region 1147 (N24W49) produced a few low-level B-class flares and remains an Hsx-alpha group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low, with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels, with isolated unsettled levels possible at high latitudes, for the next three days (25-27 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jan a 27 Jan
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Jan 083
  Previsto   25 Jan-27 Jan  083/083/082
  Media de 90 Días        24 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jan  001/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Jan  002/003
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jan a 27 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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