Viendo archivo del domingo, 20 febrero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 051 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Feb 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours.
Region 1161 (N11W28) grew slightly in areal coverage and maintained
a beta-gamma magnetic classification. Region 1162 (N18W32) remained
stable throughout the period. Both regions produced C-class
activity and Region 1161 produced a long duration B6 event at
20/1837Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate for the next three days (21-23 February). Regions 1161
and 1162 are both capable of producing M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (21-23
February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Feb a 23 Feb
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Feb 105 Previsto 21 Feb-23 Feb 100/100/095 Media de 90 Días 20 Feb 086
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Feb 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Feb 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Feb-23 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Feb a 23 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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