Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 abril 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Apr 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. A C1 flare was observed from Region 1184 (N14W85) at 09/1545Z. Region 1185 (N18E15) produced a B8/Sf flare at 09/0050Z. A partial-halo CME was observed on SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 09/0024Z, with a speed of approximately 275 km/s. Region 1185 (N18E15) showed an increase in spots. No regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-class flares for the next three days (10-12 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active levels at high latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active levels at mid-latitudes and isolated minor storm levels at high latitudes, for the next two days (10-11 April). The increase in activity is due to a coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to predominately quiet levels on day three (12 April). The partial-halo CME referenced in paragraph IA, is not expected to be geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Apr a 12 Apr
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Apr 105
  Previsto   10 Apr-12 Apr  100/095/100
  Media de 90 Días        09 Apr 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Apr  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Apr  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr  012/012-010/012-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Apr a 12 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%35%20%
Tormenta Menor10%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%25%
Tormenta Menor20%10%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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