Viendo archivo del viernes, 6 mayo 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 May 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 126 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 May 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1206 (N22W60)
produced a B3 x-ray event at 06/0312Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for days one through three (07-09 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet on days one and two (07-08 May).
Quiet to unsettled conditions, with a chance for isolated active
periods, is expected on day three (09 May). The increase in
activity is forecast due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream becoming geo-effective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 May a 09 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 May 102 Previsto 07 May-09 May 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 06 May 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 May 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 May 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 May-09 May 005/005-005/005-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 May a 09 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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