Viendo archivo del martes, 12 abril 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 12 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 102 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Apr 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1190 (N15E12) produced three C-class flares during the period. The largest was a C3 event at 12/0607Z. Region 1190 increased in area from 40 millionths to approximately 70 millionths. New Regions 1191 (N09E73) and 1192 (N10E03) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low. C-class flares are likely for the next three days (13 - 15 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. Two periods of K=5 were observed at high latitudes during the period. The increase was in response to a coronal hole high-speed stream. Solar wind speeds measured at the ACE Spacecraft increased from approximately 550 km/s to approximately 650 km/s during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (13 - 15 April) as the coronal hole high-speed stream effects decrease.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Apr a 15 Apr
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       12 Apr 110
  Previsto   13 Apr-15 Apr  110/110/110
  Media de 90 Días        12 Apr 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 11 Apr  005/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 12 Apr  015/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 13 Apr-15 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Apr a 15 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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