Viendo archivo del martes, 3 mayo 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 May 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 123 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 May 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity was low. A single C-class x-ray flare occurred from Region 1204 (N17E26) at 03/1052Z. A new region, 1206 (N22W18), was numbered and identified with a simple Beta magnetic classification. A 20 degree filament erupted from N28W64 at around 14Z. A concurrent CME was observed off the northwest quadrant of the sun on NASA SOHO LASCO C2/C3 coronagraphs as well as on STEREO A/B coronagraphs, but does not appear to be Earth directed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next 3 days (4-6 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from active to quiet as coronal hole (CH) high-speed stream (HSS) effects continued to decline. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (4-6 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 May a 06 May
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 May 107
  Previsto   04 May-06 May  110/110/110
  Media de 90 Días        03 May 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 May  014/020
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 May  010/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 May a 06 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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