Viendo archivo del sábado, 21 mayo 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 May 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 141 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 May 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Four magnetically simple,
unipolar regions were observed on the visible disk, Region 1216
(S15E01) was the largest. New Region 1219 (N15E71) rotated on the
east limb and was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low to low. There is a slight chance of a C-class x-ray flare
during the next three days (22 May - 24 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed measured at the
ACE spacecraft increased to about 400 km/.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (22 May - 24 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 May a 24 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 May 084 Previsto 22 May-24 May 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 21 May 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 May 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 May 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 May-24 May 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 May a 24 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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