Viendo archivo del viernes, 22 julio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jul 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 203 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jul 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Regions 1254 (S24W42) and
1259 (N25E18) were both Dso Beta groups, remaining quiet and stable
during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for a C-class flare over the next 3 days
(23-25 July).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the period, with the
exception of an isolated period of active conditions between
22/06-09Z due to night time sub storming. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with an isolated nighttime active
period possible on day 1 (23 July) from coronal hole effects.
Conditions are expected to be mostly quiet for days 2-3 (24-25
July), as high speed stream effects are expected to subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jul 092 Previsto 23 Jul-25 Jul 092/092/090 Media de 90 Días 22 Jul 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jul 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jul 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jul a 25 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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