Viendo archivo del domingo, 21 agosto 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Aug 21 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 233 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Aug 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

Solar activity was very low to low. Region 1271 (N16W01) produced a C2/Sf event at 20/2258Z. Region 1272 (S21E03) produced several B-class/Sf events in the past 24 hours followed by a C1/Sf at 21/1840Z. Regions 1271 and 1272 showed significant growth in trailer areas. Region 1275 (N06E68) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for moderate activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled due to the arrival of a favorably positioned negative polarity coronal hole.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled with a chance for active conditions at high latitudes on Days 1 and 2 (22-23 Aug) with the arrival of a second coronal hole high speed stream (HSS). Day 3 (24 Aug) is expected to decrease to quiet conditions as effects from the HSS subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Aug a 24 Aug
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 Aug 101
  Previsto   22 Aug-24 Aug  103/105/105
  Media de 90 Días        21 Aug 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 Aug  004/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 Aug  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 Aug-24 Aug  010/012-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Aug a 24 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%20%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%15%
Tormenta Menor20%15%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%01%

All times in UTC

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