Viendo archivo del lunes, 22 agosto 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Aug 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 234 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Aug 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1272 (S21W08) produced a
C1 event at 21/2316Z, and 1271 (N17W16) produced a long duration C1
event at 22/1604Z. Both regions also produced several B-class
flares. Region 1274 (N18E42) produced a notable B9 event at
22/0949Z. Region 1271 had significant intermediate spot and
penumbral growth.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for moderate activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled, consistent with effects
from a weak coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (23-25 Aug) as effects
from the high speed stream subside.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Aug a 25 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Aug 108 Previsto 23 Aug-25 Aug 110/112/112 Media de 90 Días 22 Aug 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Aug 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Aug a 25 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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