Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 agosto 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Aug 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Aug 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The largest event in the last 24 hours was a C1/Sf event that originated from Region 1271 (N17W42) at 24/1633Z. This region has shown separation and penumbral decay in its intermediate spots. A back-sided, partial halo CME was observed at 24/0027Z. All other numbered regions on the disk showed various amounts of decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with a slight chance for an M-class event from Region 1271 for the next three days (25-27 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next two days (25-26 August). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled on day three (27 August) due to a recurring coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Aug a 27 Aug
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Aug 104
  Previsto   25 Aug-27 Aug  110/110/115
  Media de 90 Días        24 Aug 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Aug  008/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Aug  006/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug  005/005-005/005-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Aug a 27 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%30%
Tormenta Menor01%01%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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