Viendo archivo del martes, 20 septiembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Sep 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 263 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Sep 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was low. A spot group complex consisting
of Regions 1295 (N23W35), 1296 (N27W16) and 1298 (N15W36) produced
several C-class events in the past 24 hours, including a C9/1f flare
at 20/0513Z. SOHO LASCO imagery observed 4 CMEs again this period,
none of which are expected to be geoeffective. Region 1295 remains a
beta gamma magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days (21-23 September). A chance for isolated
M-class flares exists from the Region 1295 complex.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated active period
from 20/0300-0600Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (21-23
September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Sep 144 Previsto 21 Sep-23 Sep 145/145/145 Media de 90 Días 20 Sep 104
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Sep 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Sep-23 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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