Viendo archivo del viernes, 14 octubre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 287 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Oct 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was low. Despite 9 regions on the disk,
only low level C-class flares have occurred.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next 3 days (15-17 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with an isolated minor storm
possible on day 1 (15 October) and mostly unsettled with
intermittent active periods on days 2-3 (16-17 October). The
activity is forecast as effects from an anticipated CH HSS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Oct 136 Previsto 15 Oct-17 Oct 135/135/135 Media de 90 Días 14 Oct 117
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Oct 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Oct 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct 012/010-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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