Viendo archivo del viernes, 14 octubre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 287 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Oct 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was low. Despite 9 regions on the disk,
only low level C-class flares have occurred.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next 3 days (15-17 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with an isolated minor storm
possible on day 1 (15 October) and mostly unsettled with
intermittent active periods on days 2-3 (16-17 October). The
activity is forecast as effects from an anticipated CH HSS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Oct 136 Previsto 15 Oct-17 Oct 135/135/135 Media de 90 Días 14 Oct 117
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Oct 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Oct 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct 012/010-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 30 marzo 2026
X1.5 solar flare
martes, 17 marzo 2026
M2.7 solar flare, CME arrival possible
domingo, 1 febrero 2026
Complex sunspot region 4366
Últimos mensajes del foro
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 30/03/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 28/03/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 25/03/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (3%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| Last 30 days | 90.3 +19 |
Efemérides*
Aurora on this day in history
No observations submitted for this day in history. If you've observed the aurora and you have some amazing photos to show off, submit your observations now!
Submit your aurora observation