Viendo archivo del viernes, 21 octubre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 21 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 294 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Oct 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate during the past 24 hours. Region 1319 (N12W79) produced an M1 at 21/1300Z associated with Type II (estimated speed 789 km/s) and Type IV Radio Sweeps. Further analysis will be conducted as imagery becomes available. The region has grown in areal coverage and has shown intermediate spot development. Region 1324 (N10E27) produced some C-class activity. New Region 1329 (S30W42) was numbered today and is considered a Cso-beta group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with M-class activity likely for the next three days (22-24 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (22-24 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Oct a 24 Oct
Clase M65%65%65%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 Oct 168
  Previsto   22 Oct-24 Oct  170/165/160
  Media de 90 Días        21 Oct 121
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 Oct  003/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 Oct  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 Oct-24 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Oct a 24 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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