Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 noviembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 321 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Nov 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity for the period was low. Region 1346
(S18W03) produced a C6/Sf flare at 17/0727Z with an associated Type
II radio sweep.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
during the period (18 - 20 November) with a slight chance for
isolated M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels for day one and
two (18 - 19 November) in response to a possible glancing blow from
the coronal mass ejection observed late on 14 November. On day
three (20 November) the geomagnetic field is expected to return to
quiet levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Nov 148 Previsto 18 Nov-20 Nov 150/150/155 Media de 90 Días 17 Nov 137
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Nov 003/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Nov 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Nov-20 Nov 007/007-007/008-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 06% |
| Tormenta Menor | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 17% | 17% | 16% |
| Tormenta Menor | 22% | 22% | 17% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 13% | 13% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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