Viendo archivo del sábado, 29 octubre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 302 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Oct 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was low. There were five, low level
C-class flares during the past 24 hours. The largest of these was a
C3 at 1452Z from Region 1324 (N12W85). Two of the C-flares appeared
to originate from a region on the east limb at about 10 degrees
North. Region 1330 (N07W22) continues to be the largest group on the
disk at this time but was quiet and stable. A slow CME was observed
off the northeast limb late in the period but STEREO observations
indicated that this was a back-sided event.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a slight chance, however, for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be generally unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods for the next two days (30-31 October). The increase is
expected due to a high speed stream from a coronal hole. Quiet
levels are expected to prevail on the third day (01 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Oct a 01 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Oct 123 Previsto 30 Oct-01 Nov 120/120/120 Media de 90 Días 29 Oct 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Oct 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov 010/010-010/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Oct a 01 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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