Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 noviembre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 25 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Nov 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. Several small coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed but none appear to have any Earth directed components. Two new regions were numbered today, Region 1360 (N17E17) and Region 1361 (N19E59). There are over 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk, however most have remained stable and quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next three days (26 - 28 November).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at mostly quiet levels for the next two days (26 - 27 November). An increase to quiet to unsettled with a chance for active levels is expected on day three (28 November), as a coronal hole high speed stream moves into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Nov a 28 Nov
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Nov 135
  Previsto   26 Nov-28 Nov  130/135/140
  Media de 90 Días        25 Nov 140
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Nov  004/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Nov  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov  004/007-006/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Nov a 28 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo04%07%21%
Tormenta Menor00%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa00%00%00%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%17%18%
Tormenta Menor14%20%33%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%10%32%

All times in UTC

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