Viendo archivo del domingo, 20 noviembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 324 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Nov 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was low. Frequent C-class flares
occurred during the period, mostly from Region 1354 (S17E30). Region
1354 showed little change during the period, but exhibited a
moderately complex beta-gamma magnetic configuration. New Region
1357 (N17W18) was numbered and showed gradual spot growth. It
produced a single low-level C-class flare during the period. A slow
CME was observed off the northwest limb, first visible in SOHO/LASCO
C2 images at around 20/1448Z. The CME had an estimated plane-of-sky
speed of 163 km/s and was likely associated with a filament eruption
from the northwest quadrant. STEREO-A observations suggest the CME
had an Earthward component, but further analysis will be required
due to limited data.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
during the period (21 - 23 November) with a chance for an M-class
flare from Region 1354.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet through the period (21 - 23 November). The
above-mentioned CME is not expected to disturb the field during the
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Nov a 23 Nov
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Nov 140 Previsto 21 Nov-23 Nov 140/135/135 Media de 90 Días 20 Nov 138
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Nov 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 001/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Nov-23 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Nov a 23 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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