Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 diciembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Dec 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 351 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Dec 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest event in the past
24 hours was a C1 flare at 0501Z from Region 1376 (N21W04). Region
1374 (S18W50) is the largest region on the disk but remains stable
and quiet. New Regions 1379 (S29W22) and 1380 (S20E70) were
assigned.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for isolated C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (18-20
December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Dec a 20 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Dec 120 Previsto 18 Dec-20 Dec 120/120/120 Media de 90 Días 17 Dec 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Dec 002/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Dec 000/000 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Dec-20 Dec 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Dec a 20 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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