Viendo archivo del miércoles, 23 noviembre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 327 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Nov 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The largest flare was a C2 at 23/1328Z from Region 1346 (S15W82). Region 1356 (N15E28) decayed slightly in area in its intermediate spots. Three CMEs were observed during the summary period. The first was associated with a filament eruption in the northwestern quadrant first observed in SDO/AIA 193 imagery at 22/1957Z. The second was first seen in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 23/0048Z which was possibly associated with the same filament eruption. The third was first seen in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 23/0924Z which was associated with a high latitude backside event. Further analysis of the 22/1957Z CME is ongoing to determine the possibility of a glancing blow. The two subsequent CMEs are not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class activity. An isolated M-class flare is possible from Region 1356.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (24 - 26 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Nov a 26 Nov
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Nov 140
  Previsto   24 Nov-26 Nov  145/145/145
  Media de 90 Días        23 Nov 139
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Nov  007/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Nov  005/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov  004/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Nov a 26 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo04%04%04%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa00%00%00%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo14%14%14%
Tormenta Menor12%12%12%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa06%06%06%

All times in UTC

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