Viendo archivo del domingo, 18 diciembre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Dec 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 352 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Dec 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The largest flare in the past 24 hours was a C3 at 17/2255Z from Region 1376 (N20W18). New Region 1381 (S18E19) was also responsible for low level activity. New Region 1382 (S18E25) was also assigned.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low during the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (19-21 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Dec a 21 Dec
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Dec 128
  Previsto   19 Dec-21 Dec  128/128/128
  Media de 90 Días        18 Dec 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Dec  002/000
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Dec  002/001
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Dec-21 Dec  006/005-005/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Dec a 21 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%01%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%01%

All times in UTC

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