Viendo archivo del viernes, 23 diciembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Dec 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 357 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Dec 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest of the three
C-class flares observed during the period was a C3 from Region 1376
(N16W84) as it prepared to rotate off the visible disk. Rotating
onto the disk was new Region 1386 (S16E72), an Hsx type group with
alpha magnetic characteristics. The remaining regions were
magnetically simple and quiescent.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low with a slight chance for an M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at mostly quiet levels for the next three days
(24-26 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Dec a 26 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Dec 138 Previsto 24 Dec-26 Dec 140/140/140 Media de 90 Días 23 Dec 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Dec 004/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Dec 000/001 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Dec-26 Dec 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Dec a 26 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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