Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 diciembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Dec 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 358 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Dec 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1386 (S18E64) produced
a C5/Sf at 24/0839Z. Region 1376 (rotating off the West Limb)
produced a long duration C4 flare at 24/1236Z. Both were
accompanied by CMEs which are not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-class event for the next three days
(25-27 December)
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (25-27
December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Dec 143 Previsto 25 Dec-27 Dec 140/140/145 Media de 90 Días 24 Dec 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Dec 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Dec 000/001 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Dec-27 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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