Viendo archivo del lunes, 2 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 002 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was low. A few nominal C-class flares
occurred. New Region 1391 (N13E81) was numbered today as it rotated
around the East limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for an M-class flare for the next 3
days (3-5 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for day 1 (3 January). Activity is
forecast to increase to mostly unsettled conditions with possible
active periods on day 2 (4 January) with an anticipated solar sector
boundary crossing (SSBC). Conditions should return to mostly quiet
on day 3 (5 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jan 135 Previsto 03 Jan-05 Jan 135/140/140 Media de 90 Días 02 Jan 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jan 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jan 000/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan 006/005-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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